Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Garagorri vs Mathieu Greco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fronteira Fight TeamTeamBali MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo GaragorriNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Mathieu GrecoNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.48
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eduardo GaragorriMathieu Greco
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mathieu Greco66%
Eduardo Garagorri 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mathieu Greco a 66% favorite over Eduardo Garagorri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eduardo Garagorri's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1583), separated by just 0 points.

Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Eduardo Garagorri finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.