Combat Edge Intelligence

Lukasz Sajewski vs Marc Diakiese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71,0"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mighty Bulls GdyniaTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Marc Diakiese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lukasz Sajewski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lukasz SajewskiNow 1617
If they win+17→ 1634
If they lose-15→ 1602
Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-13→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.06
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
36%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
58%
Strike defense
53%
1.01
Takedown avg.
3.29
25%
Takedown accuracy
10%
67%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lukasz SajewskiMarc Diakiese
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
8 (53%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (33%)
Decision
11 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Diakiese55%
Lukasz Sajewski 45%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 55% favorite over Lukasz Sajewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Marc Diakiese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1617, a 24-point edge.

Lukasz Sajewski finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.

Marc Diakiese carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.