Lukasz Sajewski vs Nick Hein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
71,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mighty Bulls GdyniaTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Nick Hein is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lukasz Sajewski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1634
If they lose-15→ 1602
If they win+15→ 1651
If they lose-17→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lukasz SajewskiNick Hein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lukasz Sajewski57%
Nick Hein 43%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Lukasz Sajewski a 57% favorite over Nick Hein in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Hein's way (47%).
Nick Hein holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1617, a 19-point edge.
Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Lukasz Sajewski finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hein 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.