Luke Caudillo vs Pedro Ribeiro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-17-0Record2-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamCT Punch Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1524
If they lose-12→ 1500
If they win+24→ 1542
If they lose-24→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke CaudilloPedro Ribeiro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Ribeiro70%
Luke Caudillo 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Ribeiro a 70% favorite over Luke Caudillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1518), separated by just 6 points.
Luke Caudillo finishes 76% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.