Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Cummo vs Maiwand Hamras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFightlab Munich

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke CummoNow 1515
If they win+16→ 1531
If they lose-16→ 1499
Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0.89
Takedown avg.
TBD
56%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.42
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Luke CummoMaiwand Hamras
15001550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras53%
Luke Cummo 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 53% favorite over Luke Cummo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Cummo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1509), separated by just 6 points.

Luke Cummo finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.