Luke Fernandez vs Osama Elsaidy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record9-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWarlions MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luke FernandezOsama Elsaidy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Osama Elsaidy53%
Luke Fernandez 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Osama Elsaidy a 53% favorite over Luke Fernandez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Fernandez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.
Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Osama Elsaidy 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.