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Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Fernandez vs Wildemar Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
76"Reach-
205 lbsWeight201 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMalhado Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke FernandezNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Wildemar SantosNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

32
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
100%
Strike accuracy
Not available
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
100%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Luke FernandezWildemar Santos
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (64%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Fernandez53%
Wildemar Santos 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 53% favorite over Wildemar Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.

Wildemar Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Wildemar Santos 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.