Luke Hartwig vs Pedro Henrique Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Pedro Henrique Dias
Elo1519AverageTale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-2-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
TeamTBD
What's at stake
Pedro Henrique Dias is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Luke Hartwig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1496
If they lose-21→ 1448
If they win+14→ 1533
If they lose-18→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1474 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luke HartwigPedro Henrique Dias
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Henrique Dias58%
Luke Hartwig 42%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Henrique Dias a 58% favorite over Luke Hartwig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Pedro Henrique Dias holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1469, a 50-point edge.
Pedro Henrique Dias enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.