Luke Jumeau vs Shinsho Anzai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
40.50Reach70,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Phuket Top TeamTeamTeam Climb
What's at stake
Shinsho Anzai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Luke Jumeau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1564
If they lose-21→ 1516
If they win+14→ 1591
If they lose-18→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke JumeauShinsho Anzai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Jumeau54%
Shinsho Anzai 46%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Jumeau a 54% favorite over Shinsho Anzai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shinsho Anzai's way (44%).
Shinsho Anzai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1577 to 1537, a 40-point edge.
Shinsho Anzai enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luke Jumeau finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Shinsho Anzai 56%.
Luke Jumeau and Shinsho Anzai share 1 common opponent: Jake Matthews.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.