Luke Jumeau vs Stephen Costello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
40.50Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Phuket Top TeamTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke JumeauStephen Costello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephen Costello60%
Luke Jumeau 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Costello a 60% favorite over Luke Jumeau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Jumeau's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1536), separated by just 1 points.
Luke Jumeau finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.