Luke Martin vs Marcelo Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record4-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
134 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Marcelo Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Luke Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1526
If they lose-21→ 1478
If they win+21→ 1566
If they lose-27→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luke MartinMarcelo Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcelo Reyes79%
Luke Martin 21%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcelo Reyes a 79% favorite over Luke Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Marcelo Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1545 to 1499, a 46-point edge.
Marcelo Reyes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.