Luke Martin vs Pablo Alfonso
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record9-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Stout PGHTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luke MartinPablo Alfonso
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Martin61%
Pablo Alfonso 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Martin a 61% favorite over Pablo Alfonso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1497), separated by just 2 points.
Pablo Alfonso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Pablo Alfonso 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.