Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Rockhold vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke RockholdNow 1742
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
50%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
54%
Strike defense
65%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.05
29%
Takedown accuracy
43%
65%
Takedown defense
63%
1.01
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Luke RockholdMichael Bisping
170017502016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
8 (50%)
Submission
2 (7%)
2 (13%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Rockhold53%
Michael Bisping 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 53% favorite over Michael Bisping in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1742 vs 1741), separated by just 1 points.

Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Rockhold finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Luke Rockhold carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.