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Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Rockhold vs Shamil Abdulaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record16-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamUniversal Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke RockholdNow 1742
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726
Shamil AbdulaevNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0.70
Takedown avg.
Not available
21%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
65%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.01
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Luke RockholdShamil Abdulaev
17502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
8 (50%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (13%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Rockhold55%
Shamil Abdulaev 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 55% favorite over Shamil Abdulaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1742 vs 1735), separated by just 7 points.

Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luke Rockhold finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdulaev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.