Luke Rockhold vs Tim Boetsch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Luke Rockhold is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tim Boetsch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1753
If they lose-21→ 1721
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-8→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke RockholdTim Boetsch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Rockhold78%
Tim Boetsch 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 78% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Luke Rockhold holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1631, a 111-point edge.
Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luke Rockhold finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.
Luke Rockhold carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.