Luke Rockhold vs Vitor Belfort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Luke Rockhold is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1757
If they lose-17→ 1725
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-11→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luke RockholdVitor Belfort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Rockhold55%
Vitor Belfort 45%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 55% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Luke Rockhold holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1718, a 24-point edge.
Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luke Rockhold finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.
Luke Rockhold and Vitor Belfort share 3 common opponents: Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Lyoto Machida.
Luke Rockhold carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.