Luke Sanders vs Nate Maness
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record16-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nashville MMATeamSalvation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Nate Maness is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Luke Sanders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1682
If they lose-13→ 1650
If they win+13→ 1749
If they lose-19→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke SandersNate Maness
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Maness75%
Luke Sanders 25%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Maness a 75% favorite over Luke Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Nate Maness holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1663, a 73-point edge.
Luke Sanders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luke Sanders finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nate Maness 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.