Luke Sanders vs Patrick Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record8-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach73,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nashville MMATeamIndependent
What's at stake
Luke Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Patrick Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1674
If they lose-21→ 1642
If they win+21→ 1581
If they lose-11→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luke SandersPatrick Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Sanders74%
Patrick Williams 26%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Sanders a 74% favorite over Patrick Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Luke Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1560, a 103-point edge.
Luke Sanders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luke Sanders finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Williams 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.