Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Sanders vs Rani Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luke Sanders
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Luke Sanders

“Cool Hand”

13-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record28-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nashville MMATeamConstrictor Team

What's at stake

Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luke Sanders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luke SandersNow 1663
If they win+17→ 1680
If they lose-15→ 1648
Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+11→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
53%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.71
Takedown avg.
2.73
30%
Takedown accuracy
31%
73%
Takedown defense
29%
0.24
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Luke SandersRani Yahya
16501700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Submission
21 (75%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Luke Sanders63%
Rani Yahya 37%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Luke Sanders a 63% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rani Yahya's way (46%).

Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1663, a 27-point edge.

Luke Sanders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Sanders finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.