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Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Shanks vs Yuma Horiuchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luke Shanks
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Luke Shanks

“The Apocalypse”

10-7-0BantamweightAFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record11-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
130 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke ShanksNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Yuma HoriuchiNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
30%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
Not available
Strike defense
35%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Luke ShanksYuma Horiuchi
155016002026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (40%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Yuma Horiuchi54%
Luke Shanks 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yuma Horiuchi a 54% favorite over Luke Shanks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.

Luke Shanks enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yuma Horiuchi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Shanks finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Yuma Horiuchi 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.