Luke Trainer vs Shamil Erdogan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record13-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
77"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke TrainerShamil Erdogan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Trainer71%
Shamil Erdogan 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Trainer a 71% favorite over Shamil Erdogan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Erdogan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.
Luke Trainer enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Luke Trainer finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Erdogan 69%.
Shamil Erdogan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.