Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Zachrich vs Zach Reese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zach Reese
us

Zach Reese

“Savage”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ronin Training CenterTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke ZachrichNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Zach ReeseNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
33%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
63%
Strike defense
44%
0.74
Takedown avg.
2.80
33%
Takedown accuracy
61%
80%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Luke ZachrichZach Reese
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
6 (43%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Reese66%
Luke Zachrich 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 66% favorite over Luke Zachrich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Zachrich finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.