Lun Qiu vs Shota Nagano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
37,0"Reach-
132 lbsWeight133 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamReversal Gym Musashi Kosugi Tokoro Plus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lun QiuShota Nagano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lun Qiu56%
Shota Nagano 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lun Qiu a 56% favorite over Shota Nagano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.
Lun Qiu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shota Nagano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lun Qiu finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Shota Nagano 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.