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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lévy Carriel vs Ryan McGilivray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Petres GymTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lévy CarrielNow 1485
If they win+16→ 1501
If they lose-16→ 1469
Ryan McGilivrayNow 1482
If they win+24→ 1506
If they lose-24→ 1458

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
Not available
Strike accuracy
21%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lévy CarrielRyan McGilivray
15001550160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan McGilivray59%
Lévy Carriel 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan McGilivray a 59% favorite over Lévy Carriel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lévy Carriel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1482), separated by just 3 points.

Lévy Carriel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lévy Carriel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.