Combat Edge Intelligence

Márcio Barbosa vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-2-0Record20-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Equipe RD ChampionsTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Márcio BarbosaNow 1728
If they win+16→ 1744
If they lose-16→ 1712
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
53%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.84
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
100%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Márcio BarbosaRicardo Lamas
17001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (84%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
2 (11%)
Submission
5 (25%)
1 (5%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Márcio Barbosa79%
Ricardo Lamas 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 79% favorite over Ricardo Lamas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Lamas's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1728 vs 1730), separated by just 2 points.

Márcio Barbosa enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Márcio Barbosa finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.