Márcio Barbosa vs Ryan Kuse
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
70"Reach74"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Equipe RD ChampionsTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1668 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Márcio Barbosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ryan Kuse carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-20→ 1693
If they win+20→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Márcio BarbosaRyan Kuse
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Márcio Barbosa71%
Ryan Kuse 29%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 71% favorite over Ryan Kuse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Márcio Barbosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1630, a 83-point edge.
Márcio Barbosa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ryan Kuse enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Márcio Barbosa finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Kuse 70%.
Ryan Kuse carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.