Combat Edge Intelligence

Márcio Barbosa vs Saifullah Dzhabrailov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-2-0Record19-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
146 lbsWeight147 lbs
Equipe RD ChampionsTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Márcio BarbosaNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
Saifullah DzhabrailovNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.01
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Márcio BarbosaSaifullah Dzhabrailov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (84%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
2 (11%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (5%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Márcio Barbosa72%
Saifullah Dzhabrailov 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 72% favorite over Saifullah Dzhabrailov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Márcio Barbosa enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Márcio Barbosa finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Saifullah Dzhabrailov 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.