Combat Edge Intelligence

Máté Kertész vs Orlando Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Máté Kertész
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Máté Kertész

“The Cold Blooded”

15-11-0WelterweightOKMMA

1541Average

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight158 lbs
BSK CrossfightTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Máté KertészNow 1541
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529
Orlando SandersNow 1544
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Máté KertészOrlando Sanders
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (60%)
9 (60%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Orlando Sanders60%
Máté Kertész 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Orlando Sanders a 60% favorite over Máté Kertész in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1544), separated by just 3 points.

Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Máté Kertész finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.