Máté Kertész vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-11-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BSK CrossfightTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Máté KertészRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Máté Kertész60%
Rousimar Palhares 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Máté Kertész a 60% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rousimar Palhares's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1544), separated by just 3 points.
Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Máté Kertész finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.