Małgorzata Popowicz vs Shayna Baszler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record15-11-0
FlyweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight153 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
If they win+12→ 1546
If they lose-12→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Małgorzata PopowiczShayna Baszler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shayna Baszler55%
Małgorzata Popowicz 45%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Shayna Baszler a 55% favorite over Małgorzata Popowicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1534), separated by just 4 points.
Shayna Baszler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shayna Baszler 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.