Combat Edge Intelligence

Mac Danzig vs Oscar Ownsworth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-12-1Record10-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Danzig MMATeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mac DanzigNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Oscar OwnsworthNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.20
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.60
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mac DanzigOscar Ownsworth
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (23%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
11 (50%)
Submission
3 (30%)
6 (27%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ownsworth80%
Mac Danzig 20%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 80% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mac Danzig finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ownsworth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.