Combat Edge Intelligence

Mac Danzig vs Victor Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-12-1Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Danzig MMATeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mac DanzigNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Victor MartinezNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
7.94
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.66
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.20
Takedown avg.
0.70
38%
Takedown accuracy
33%
46%
Takedown defense
80%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mac DanzigVictor Martinez
1600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
11 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (27%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Martinez66%
Mac Danzig 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Martinez a 66% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mac Danzig's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.

Victor Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mac Danzig finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Victor Martinez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.