Mac Papalii vs Scott Ferrozzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record4-2-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
273 lbsWeight323 lbs
Battle Box· 1575 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mac PapaliiScott Ferrozzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mac Papalii53%
Scott Ferrozzo 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mac Papalii a 53% favorite over Scott Ferrozzo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1549), separated by just 6 points.
Mac Papalii enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Scott Ferrozzo 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.