Machi Fukuda vs Marina Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'0"Height5'7"
61"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamThai Brasil· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Machi FukudaMarina Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Machi Fukuda66%
Marina Rodriguez 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Machi Fukuda a 66% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marina Rodriguez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1675), separated by just 2 points.
Machi Fukuda enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Machi Fukuda finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.
Marina Rodriguez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.