Combat Edge Intelligence

Mackens Semerzier vs Robbie Peralta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record19-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team CurranTeamTeam Xplode MMA

What's at stake

Mackens Semerzier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Robbie Peralta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mackens SemerzierNow 1578
If they win+14→ 1592
If they lose-18→ 1560
Robbie PeraltaNow 1538
If they win+18→ 1556
If they lose-14→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
47%
Strike defense
53%
2.14
Takedown avg.
0.59
50%
Takedown accuracy
67%
50%
Takedown defense
65%
2.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mackens SemerzierRobbie Peralta
155016002011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
7 (88%)
Submission
2 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Mackens Semerzier57%
Robbie Peralta 43%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Mackens Semerzier a 57% favorite over Robbie Peralta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Mackens Semerzier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1578 to 1538, a 40-point edge.

Mackens Semerzier enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Robbie Peralta enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mackens Semerzier finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Peralta 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.