Mackenzie Stiller vs Ming Shi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record17-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
62"Reach60"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
One Touch Fight TeamTeamChina Catch Wrestling
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mackenzie StillerMing Shi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Stiller63%
Ming Shi 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Stiller a 63% favorite over Ming Shi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1610), separated by just 4 points.
Mackenzie Stiller enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mackenzie Stiller finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ming Shi 47%.
Mackenzie Stiller carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.