Combat Edge Intelligence

Macksom Lee vs Matt Schnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record17-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
6'1"Height5'8"
75"Reach70"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Markine FightTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Macksom LeeNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Matt SchnellNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.60
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
Not available
Takedown defense
43%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Macksom LeeMatt Schnell
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
4 (44%)
Submission
9 (56%)
1 (11%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Macksom Lee and Matt Schnell within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1606), separated by just 7 points.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Macksom Lee finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.

Macksom Lee carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.