Macy Chiasson vs Sara McMann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'5"
72"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Macy ChiassonSara McMann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Macy Chiasson52%
Sara McMann 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 52% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.
Macy Chiasson and Sara McMann share 2 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira and Marion Reneau.
Macy Chiasson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.