Combat Edge Intelligence

Macy Chiasson vs Sara McMann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'5"
72"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Macy ChiassonNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Sara McMannNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.92
46%
Strike defense
48%
2.07
Takedown avg.
4.38
37%
Takedown accuracy
65%
73%
Takedown defense
50%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Macy ChiassonSara McMann
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
3 (30%)
Submission
5 (36%)
4 (40%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Macy Chiasson53%
Sara McMann 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 53% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sara McMann's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1618), separated by just 4 points.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.

Macy Chiasson and Sara McMann share 2 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira and Marion Reneau.

Macy Chiasson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Marion Reneau
LossSUB · 2018
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Ketlen Vieira
LossSUB · 2017