Macy Chiasson vs Sarah Moras
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record6-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamToshido Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Macy Chiasson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sarah Moras carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1625
If they lose-21→ 1593
If they win+21→ 1527
If they lose-11→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Macy ChiassonSarah Moras
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Macy Chiasson70%
Sarah Moras 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 70% favorite over Sarah Moras in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Macy Chiasson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1506, a 108-point edge.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sarah Moras enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Moras 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.