Combat Edge Intelligence

Macy Chiasson vs Talita Bernardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'4"
72"Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamImperio Fight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Macy ChiassonNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Talita BernardoNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
46%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
46%
Strike defense
56%
2.07
Takedown avg.
1.62
37%
Takedown accuracy
22%
73%
Takedown defense
29%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Macy ChiassonTalita Bernardo
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Submission
7 (64%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Macy Chiasson60%
Talita Bernardo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 60% favorite over Talita Bernardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Talita Bernardo 64%.

Macy Chiasson and Talita Bernardo share 1 common opponent: Irene Aldana.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2022
Irene Aldana
LossDEC · 2018