Macy Chiasson vs Yana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yana Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Macy Chiasson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-18→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Macy ChiassonYana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yana Santos55%
Macy Chiasson 45%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Yana Santos a 55% favorite over Macy Chiasson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Yana Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1614, a 47-point edge.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Macy Chiasson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Yana Santos 47%.
Macy Chiasson and Yana Santos share 3 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira, Irene Aldana and Marion Reneau.
Macy Chiasson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.