Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Michel Prazeres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68.00"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mads Burnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-9→ 1658
Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+9→ 1764
If they lose-15→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
51%
Strike defense
58%
3.45
Takedown avg.
3.94
47%
Takedown accuracy
36%
22%
Takedown defense
48%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Mads BurnellMichel Prazeres
16501700175018002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
9 (47%)
Submission
11 (41%)
9 (47%)
Decision
15 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mads Burnell and Michel Prazeres within a point of even.

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1667, a 88-point edge.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.