Mads Burnell vs Mike Santiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record22-14-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68.00"Reach41,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamTop Notch Fitness
What's at stake
Mads Burnell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mike Santiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1647
If they win+14→ 1605
If they lose-10→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mads BurnellMike Santiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mads Burnell73%
Mike Santiago 27%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 73% favorite over Mike Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Mads Burnell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1591, a 70-point edge.
Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mike Santiago 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.