Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Sebastian Szalay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68.00"Reach66"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamFreestyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mads BurnellNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
Sebastian SzalayNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.27
51%
Strike defense
72%
3.45
Takedown avg.
0
47%
Takedown accuracy
0%
22%
Takedown defense
85%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mads BurnellSebastian Szalay
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
9 (47%)
Submission
1 (10%)
9 (47%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Sebastian Szalay59%
Mads Burnell 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sebastian Szalay a 59% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Szalay 30%.

Mads Burnell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.