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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Yutaka Saito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record22-9-2
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68.00"Reach-
155 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mads BurnellNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Yutaka SaitoNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
3.45
Takedown avg.
Not available
47%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
22%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.38
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mads BurnellYutaka Saito
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
9 (47%)
Submission
2 (9%)
9 (47%)
Decision
15 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mads Burnell and Yutaka Saito within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Yutaka Saito 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.