Combat Edge Intelligence

Magnus Cedenblad vs Scott Askham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79,0"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Scott Askham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Magnus Cedenblad carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Magnus CedenbladNow 1653
If they win+17→ 1670
If they lose-15→ 1638
Scott AskhamNow 1676
If they win+11→ 1687
If they lose-13→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
51%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
40%
Strike defense
52%
2.87
Takedown avg.
0.44
64%
Takedown accuracy
18%
67%
Takedown defense
65%
0.96
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Magnus CedenbladScott Askham
165017002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
5 (36%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (14%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Magnus Cedenblad53%
Scott Askham 47%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Cedenblad a 53% favorite over Scott Askham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Askham's way (47%).

Scott Askham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1653, a 23-point edge.

Magnus Cedenblad finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Scott Askham 70%.

Magnus Cedenblad carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.