Combat Edge Intelligence

Magnus Conrado vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Hikari MMATeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magnus ConradoNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1490 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.74
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Magnus ConradoRicardo Almeida
1600165020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (15%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
14 (70%)
Submission
5 (38%)
3 (15%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Magnus Conrado57%
Ricardo Almeida 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Conrado a 57% favorite over Ricardo Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Magnus Conrado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magnus Conrado finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.