Combat Edge Intelligence

Magnus Conrado vs Ricky Rainey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ricky Rainey
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Ricky Rainey

“The Sniper”

13-6-0WelterweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach43,5"
157 lbsWeight171 lbs
Hikari MMATeamRenegade Fighting Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magnus ConradoNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Ricky RaineyNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1490 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Magnus ConradoRicky Rainey
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (15%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
14 (70%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (15%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Magnus Conrado61%
Ricky Rainey 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Conrado a 61% favorite over Ricky Rainey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Magnus Conrado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ricky Rainey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magnus Conrado finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Rainey 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.