Magomed Ankalaev vs Marcin Prachnio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-2-1Record17-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTatsujin Dojo
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1859
If they lose-26→ 1827
If they win+19→ 1618
If they lose-5→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1731 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Magomed AnkalaevMarcin Prachnio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev82%
Marcin Prachnio 18%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 82% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1599, a 254-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.