Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Ankalaev vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-2-1Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gorets Fight ClubTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Magomed AnkalaevNow 1835
If they win+7→ 1842
If they lose-25→ 1810
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+19→ 1630
If they lose-5→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
53%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
56%
Strike defense
54%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.15
22%
Takedown accuracy
20%
88%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Magomed AnkalaevMarcin Prachnio
160017001800202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
10 (50%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Ankalaev88%
Marcin Prachnio 12%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 88% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1835 to 1611, a 224-point edge.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magomed Ankalaev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.