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Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Ankalaev vs Muslim Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-2-1Record17-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAcademy MMA

What's at stake

Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Muslim Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Magomed AnkalaevNow 1853
If they win+13→ 1866
If they lose-19→ 1834
Muslim MagomedovNow 1795
If they win+19→ 1814
If they lose-13→ 1782

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1731 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.79
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
88%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Magomed AnkalaevMuslim Magomedov
17501800185020252026

Win method breakdown

11 (52%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (12%)
10 (48%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Ankalaev66%
Muslim Magomedov 34%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 66% favorite over Muslim Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1795, a 58-point edge.

Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Magomed Ankalaev finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Magomedov 53%.

Magomed Ankalaev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.